The Oklahoma City Thunder (40-9) will face off against the Toronto Raptors (16-35) at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City on Friday, February 7, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET. The Thunder are substantial favorites, with a 18.5-point spread, and the over/under is set at 228.5 points.
Thunder’s Recent Performance and Betting Overview
The Thunder enter this matchup after an impressive 140-109 victory over the Phoenix Suns on February 5, 2025. Star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a standout performance, scoring 50 points. Oklahoma City has been dominant all season, boasting a 32-17-0 record against the spread (ATS). The team has covered the spread in 65.3% of games and has won 38 of 46 games when favored on the moneyline. With a strong 97.6% implied probability of winning this game, the Thunder are the clear favorites.
Raptors’ Struggles and Betting Analysis
The Toronto Raptors, on the other hand, come into this game after a tough 138-107 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. The Raptors have been inconsistent, winning only 30.4% of their games as underdogs. They have a 27-24-0 ATS record this season, and their 26 overs out of 51 games indicate a relatively high-scoring tendency. With a 6.2% chance to win based on the moneyline, Toronto will need a strong performance to keep pace with Oklahoma City.
Thunder vs. Raptors Key Stats
Oklahoma City leads in scoring, averaging 117.6 points per game (5th in the league), while Toronto lags behind with 111.2 points (21st). Defensively, the Thunder excel, allowing just 104.6 points per game (1st), whereas the Raptors give up 116.8 points per game (25th). The Thunder also lead in three-pointers made and assists, while the Raptors struggle with turnovers.
Key Players to Watch
- Oklahoma City Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, averaging 32.8 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 6 assists per game, will be the focal point for the Thunder. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren also play key roles, contributing both offensively and defensively.
- Toronto Raptors: RJ Barrett leads the Raptors with 21.6 points per game, while Scottie Barnes contributes with 19.9 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.4 assists. Jakob Poeltl is another key figure, contributing on both ends of the floor.
Prediction
Given Oklahoma City’s dominant form and the Raptors’ struggles, the Thunder are expected to cover the 18.5-point spread. The high-scoring nature of both teams suggests the over 228.5 points is a reasonable bet as well.
Final Picks:
- Thunder -18.5
- Over 228.5 points
PENULIS MUHAMMAD FITRAH RAJASA